Oil Prices: Make Up Your Mind on What’s Good and What’s Bad
First the Dems in DC complain high oil prices are a huge problem and we need to cut back on consumption. We do exactly that and now they’re complaining that low oil prices are going to be a problem. Why? In January 2005, we were paying about $1.85 per gallon of gasoline in New England. In January 2006, we were paying about $2.37. Last month, I was paying over $4.00. Why shouldn’t we be able to go back to those lower price levels without upsetting the entire economy? Get the speculators on to some new commodity and let the market make the corrections it needs to to get oil and gas prices back in line with demand.
Thanks to Linda Caswell for pointing out this “we changed our minds” article from CNN Money:
Oil prices are falling sharply, and that’s good news. But not nearly as good as you might think.
No doubt the drop, down to $120 by mid-day Monday, gives strapped consumers relief at the gas pump. Prices have dropped below $4 a gallon and could be headed toward $3.50, going by trading in wholesale futures markets. Any decline will be welcomed by Americans struggling under the burden of falling house prices, rising layoffs and stagnant wages.
But falling oil prices also suggest that the recession the U.S. has so far avoided is well on its way, as consumers pull back from the spending spree that drove economic growth earlier this decade. A weakening economy will mean more layoffs, further pressuring already reduced spending.
Perhaps the biggest factor behind the recent 18% drop in the price of a barrel of crude is sinking North American demand. Federal Highway Administration data show the number of miles driven in the U.S. dropped from year-ago levels for the seventh straight month in May.
May’s decline was the third-largest monthly drop on record since 1942, says Stephen Schork, editor of the Schork Report energy and shipping newsletter in Villanova, Pa.
Americans are driving 4% less now than they were a year ago, Rosenberg writes, while energy use in inflation-adjusted terms has dropped 2% – an event he calls “extremely rare.”
But this is exactly what politicians and economists wanted, a decrease in consumption. Now that they’ve gotten it, they’ve done a Kerry flip-flop. For goodness sake, make up your mind.